Debt Ceiling:Fiscal Cliff tracking chart

This chart overlays the current S&P 500 (think blue line) on top of the S&P 500 during the Debt Ceiling debacle of 2011. My thinking is that, with the same body in charge of resolving the issue as was in charge then, it makes sense that markets might follow the same path. One tenet of technical analysis is that history repeats. One tenet of Congress seems to be that it’s dysfunctional. July 31, 2011, was when Congress approved the debt ceiling increase, so I thought it was appropriate to center that with January 2, 2013, when we will be–in some form or other–past the edge of the cliff. Those dates are shown by the dashed orange line. A few days later in 2011, S&P downgraded U.S. Treasuries; that’s the vertical, dashed red line. So far, the current market path seems uncannily like 2011′s. Hopefully, the similarity ends soon. 

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